New England Patriots Willing To Trade Jimmy Garoppolo
December 29, 2016
The price tag for New England Patriots quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo would be a first- and fourth-round pick.
That’s what the Minnesota Vikings gave up for Sam Bradford a few months ago. That price is fair but would you give a first and fourth for Garoppolo?
Jimmy Garoppolo has the pedigree of a late second-round pick. He has a sparkling 107.4 rating, but that comes over just 93 career passes. He has five touchdowns and no interceptions, and has generally looked good in his limited NFL action. He has played well within the Patriots’ scheme, though there are moments you are reminded he’s very inexperienced. ESPN has also said the Patriots might not trade Garoppolo, but it’s just smart business for the team to put that message out there and protect his trade value. Maybe the Patriots hold onto him, but let’s assume they’ll listen to all trade offers.
If you could just bottle up what Garoppolo has shown over 93 NFL passes and assume he’d keep doing that in a different environment for the next 10 years, you’d be thrilled to trade just a first and fourth for him. But we know that’s not guaranteed. Brock Osweiler had seven promising starts with the Denver Broncos last season, he was a former second-round pick and the Houston Texans gambled a big contract on him. That didn’t work out. Osweiler was benched for Tom Savage two games ago. No matter how good Garoppolo has looked in limited action, you’d be trading a lot for a player who will be making his third career start on opening day next season.
And unlike a potential Garoppolo trade, the Texans didn’t even have to give up any draft picks to get Osweiler. Garoppolo’s rookie contract is up after 2017, so a team would have to give up the picks in a trade and give him a mega-deal to him before he hits free agency – no team is sending a first- and fourth-round pick to New England for one year of Garoppolo. So a team has to understand it is investing valuable draft capital and perhaps an Osweiler-type contract (even if it doesn’t reach the $18 million a year Osweiler and Bradford got, it won’t be cheap), and is doing so on a quarterback who has 93 career passes.
The risk is obvious. So now that we know generally what the Patriots will want when the trade window opens this offseason, teams in need of a quarterback have to ask themselves if Garoppolo’s small NFL sample size is worth a major commitment.
For months on end, the Chicago Bears have been linked to New England Patriots quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. The young, promising backup to Tom Brady has been the subject of plenty of trade rumors recently. Although many teams are realistic options for the youngster, the Bears have arguably been the most-talked about team in those rumors. It now appears that the Pats have set an asking price for a potential deal.
As the tweet shows, this price is very similar to the one that the Eagles got for Sam Bradford. However, if you apply this deal to quarterback-needy teams, the price becomes a lot higher.
Many teams will be doing their homework on Jimmy G, the Bears being one of them. Some of the others include the Browns, the Jets and even the 49ers. You could even throw in the Broncos as a possible suitor. When you look at this list, what do these teams have in common? None of them are playoff teams. Even more specific, the first four teams all have something in common: they all have top-ten picks.
Christmas came early for several teams this weekend and unless the Bears win this week, then all of the first three picks will look at Garoppolo. The Browns also have the Eagles’ first-rounder, which is bound to be a top-ten pick as well. That means that, to get him, one of those teams would have to give up a very high draft pick. Here’s the thing though: none of them can afford to give up that high of a pick.
I’m going to use the Bears as an example here. They have plenty of other needs besides quarterback: offensive tackle, safety, cornerback, tight end, defensive end and wide receiver (especially if Alshon Jeffery leaves). They can fill one of those needs and solidify that position with the third pick, as well as with one of their fourth-rounders. This especially goes for safety and defensive end, as Jamal Adams and Jonathan Allen are both elite talents at their respective positions. Why would you pass on the opportunity to get one of them? Better yet, why would you pass on the opportunity to get one of them in favor of an unproven quarterback?
Garoppolo has yet to be an NFL starter for an entire season. In fact, he has only started two games in his entire three-year career. TWO. Why on Earth would you risk getting an elite talent for someone with two games of meaningful film? Even Brock Osweiler started in more games before the Texans spent everything but the kitchen sink to get him. We all know how that worked out.
Look, I’m not knocking Jimmy Garoppolo as a talent. He’s a solid player who has great traits and lots of room to grow. But there is absolutely no way that the Bears should give up the third pick in the draft for him.